Dustin Poirier recently shared his thoughts on the upcoming fight between Islam Makhachev and Jack Della Maddalena. Drawing from his personal experience facing Makhachev in the octagon, Poirier predicts that the champion will likely win by decision. He emphasized that Makhachev’s grappling and control make him extremely difficult to beat.
At the same time, Poirier acknowledged that Della Maddalena is a dangerous striker with the potential to create opportunities if he lands a big shot or a well-timed knee. Poirier said, “I would think Islam by decision. But if Jack does win, I’m not going to be totally blown away if he lands a shot that hurts Makhachev or a knee or something. Obviously, if he beats Islam by decision or submission, then I’m going to be blown away.” His comments give a clear picture of the kind of fight this could be, highlighting the balance between technical skill, strategy, and moments of high impact that could change the outcome.
Dustin Poirier predicts Islam Makhachev will defeat Jack Della Maddalena via decision #UFC322🤯
— Red Corner MMA (@RedCorner_MMA) November 11, 2025
"I would think Islam by decision. But if Jack does win, I’m not gonna be totally blown away if he lands a shot that hurts Islam or a knee or something. Obviously, if he beats Islam… pic.twitter.com/WpaB33rbxS
Poirier on the Style Matchup
Dustin broke down why this matchup is particularly challenging. He noted that Makhachev’s threat of takedowns forces opponents to move constantly, stay light on their feet, and avoid overcommitting to strikes. Poirier highlighted that facing a wrestler of Makhachev’s caliber requires both mental and physical discipline. On the other hand, he recognized that Della Maddalena has improved significantly in his striking and takedown defense, which could give him chances if he executes his game plan perfectly. According to Poirier, overcoming Makhachev would require an almost flawless performance from Della Maddalena, which is why he expects a decision in favor of the champion.
How Poirier Sees the Fight Playing Out
For Dustin, the fight is about more than just who has more power or speed. He believes that strategy, timing, and composure will play decisive roles in the outcome. Poirier expects Makhachev to try to control the pace and dictate where the fight takes place. Della Maddalena’s best chance is to keep the fight standing, avoid extended grappling exchanges, and land clean, heavy strikes. Poirier does not see a quick finish as likely. Instead, he predicts a measured, methodical battle where the winner is determined by control, accuracy, and endurance. His perspective underscores how every moment in a high-level MMA fight matters, and how even small mistakes can have major consequences.
The Upcoming Fight: What to Expect
The fight between Makhachev and Della Maddalena is scheduled to headline UFC 322. Makhachev, the former reigning lightweight champion, is moving up to welterweight, bringing his elite wrestling and grappling skills to a heavier division. Della Maddalena, the current welterweight champion, is known for his striking power, speed, and agility. While Poirier predicts that Makhachev will win by decision, several key questions remain. Can Della Maddalena keep the fight on the feet and land enough damage to offset Makhachev’s grappling control? Will Makhachev be able to impose his game plan and maintain positional dominance throughout the fight? According to Poirier, the fighter who executes their strategy, stays composed under pressure, and capitalizes on opportunities will ultimately emerge victorious. UFC 322 promises a tactical showdown that will test both fighters’ skills, endurance, and ability to adapt under pressure.
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